Web to Print Makes Blogs a Print Publication

January 13, 2009 – 13:21

Regarding my previous post, I came across pretty interesting concept (via: Wired) that takes content out of blogs and other user generated content mediums, such as Flickr, and uses aggregated content to produce bi-daily free newspaper. The content that is put into the paper is selected using online voting system, in order to a) promote interesting content b) assure quality.

Why is this a good idea? Well, it tackles some of the problems with print-first newspapers:

  • Low production costs with hyper-local targeting due to print on demand, that makes possible highly targeted advertising with substantially lower prices than traditional printed media
  • Engaging readers to the actual publication process that hopefully makes the paper more interesting to the readers
  • True web to print approach. Not only is the content pulled from the web, the paper can also take advertising directly from advertisers’ online campaigns, thus making ad production cost for print version practically zero
  • A concept that can be rolled out, not only nationally but also internationally, without stellar costs

While I’m skeptical about the success of this effort (hey, it’s part of my nature!), I am certain that this concept has some truly great implications on how the future of printed media could look like.

The Faulty Logic of Hanging on the Past

January 11, 2009 – 23:25

Recently there has been more and more critique against so called citizen journalism, that in the mouth of trad media journos equals blogging, among traditional media workers. To quote a couple of the articles, while there are some truth in the thinking, I think the logic behind thinking is faulty.

From the opinion piece by Mar-Vic Cagurangan in Business Mirror:

There is nothing like the traditional ink-on-paper with full-time nosy reporters, wielding the good old pen and notebook or voice recorder, spending hours in the courthouse or the session hall, hunting stories day in and day out, annoying people with persistent phone calls. That’s not cheap.

“What is cheap,” New York columnists Ellis Heican writes, “is some self-absorbed nitwit sitting in front of a computer in his bathrobe, stealing the facts that some hardworking, lowly-paid newspaper drone just spent hours collecting.”

And to continue along the same lines, Paul Mushine writes in Wall Street Journal:

The problem is that printing a hard copy of a publication packed with solid, interesting reporting isn’t a guarantee of economic success in the age of instant news. Blogger Glenn Reynolds of “Instapundit” fame seems to be pleased at this. In his book, “An Army of Davids,” Mr. Reynolds heralds an era in which “[m]illions of Americans who were in awe of the punditocracy now realize that anyone can do this stuff.”

No, they can’t. Millions of American can’t even pronounce “pundit,” or spell it for that matter. On the Internet and on the other form of “alternative media,” talk radio, a disliked pundit has roughly a 50-50 chance of being derided as a “pundint,” if my eyes and ears are any indication.

So, what is the faulty logic behind these opinions? To begin with, we need to bring up a couple of issues that have been arising lately. First of all, the problem with newspapers is not the end product itself. The problem is the unsustainable business model in the long term and the fixed cost structure of running a newspaper. Consumer behavior has changed so the current model needs to evolve.

The business model as such is not dead end, however media spend is fragmenting as media consumption is evolving and current macroeconomic situation is actually turning something that was thought to be a cyclical downturn into real secular change in media mix of the advertisers. So there is a lot of money to be made, but sources of revenue are divided into small streams and are really hard to tap into, unless you have an agile organization with a flexible cost base. Does not sound like New York Times to me.

Secondly, blogs and “citizen journalism” might have started as a playing field of amateurs. However there is not any single reason why professional journalists could not start a blog, or some other form of online medium, on their own. I believe there always will be a need for high quality journalism, but it just might be that what we now call a newspaper is no longer the relevant medium for the online generation, nor is the one-size-fits-all general news portal.

There are many blog-like online services with high quality articles, very up-to-date information and experts in their respective fields. Sure, you have to follow a few dozen blogs around different subjects to have a same kind of “general media” experience you have with newspapers, but the upside is that the different specialized services have more and deeper content than any single general newspaper could afford to have. This is actually something that a newspaper simply cannot compete with.

From consumer, or reader if you will, point of view I get more out of my Google Reader than any single newspaper could provide: a broad variety of topics that are of my interest, 24/7 updated content and all of this for free. Heck, I can even link to the content I find interesting and promote it to others for immediate consumption in social services like Facebook and Twitter or simply sending it as a direct email or instant message if it involves some not so conventional humor. And all of these services also work very well via mobile handsets.

Regarding media going online, I think the prime example in Finland would be the rebirth of Uusi Suomi as pure online medium, with a different structure compared to traditional news media. I dare to say that no one would build anything like current newspaper companies, given the chance to build it ground up with current technology and in current multichannel consumer environment. Of course, there is a long way to go to reach the masses of Finland’s leading newspapers and newspaper web sites. However, when you do not have the burden of the past to drag along, you do not need to have massive readership (read: prospective eyeballs to look at the advertising) for achieving profitability.

And finally the usual argument that nobody is going to replace the work of paid journalists for free, is your grandfather’s argument. People are publishing massive amounts of content (or should I say intellectual property) for free. Enthusiasts have built an end-to-end computing environment for free. People are giving away arts and music for free. The thing is, generations change and with generations the culture is changing and dragging social changes along.

The cultural disruption enabled by the new technology is even more important than the technological one. I think this is something that goes totally forgotten whenever stressing the importance of technological change, although any self-respecting journalist should know the social and cultural effects of inventing the first truly efficient way to distribute information, namely the printing press. What we are now seeing is just as big change in the way information is distributed, whether it is a news article, classified ad, video on YouTube or some tweet on Twitter. Every bit of information can be shared, or broadcast, globally in real-time.

To sum it all up, I think there are a couple of things that are more real challenges within newspaper industry:

  • Organizational inflexibility leading to suboptimal performance and inflated cost base. Consolidating operations in panic does not fix the underlying problems. How come each and every journalist promoting newspaper as a medium, underlines the cost of making a newspaper and somehow equals high cost with superior quality?
  • Cultural inflexibility and resistance to change. It is the Internet’s fault! Well, no it is not. I think Clay Shirky made some very clever points about newspapers being like Russians in his interview in The Guardian. If there is something the industry really does not need is arrogant attitude towards the change.
  • Losing touch with the online generation, and with that the cultural phenomenon. If you do not resonate with your audience (or worse, have none), how are you going to sell anything to them? Remember, the online generation of today are the media consumers and buyers of tomorrow.
  • How do you compete with free (ad-supported or not) while being profitable? It is easy to fight free with free, but profitability is another issue. Maybe the traditional economics of scale do not work that well in online, except for ad networks. Is your cost base at the same level with the free competition? Probably not.
  • How do you cope with the fact that cheap mass distribution of information is available to anyone? What is the real advantage of a newspaper if the news are in Twitter instantly and some professional blogger has an analysis out even before the ink has dried? Let’s face it: the newspaper industry no longer has monopoly on information.

I think these are tough questions and by looking at the situation, especially in the U.S., there are no answers yet.

SciAm: Blurring the Boundary Between Perception and Memory

December 16, 2008 – 19:59

Scientific American has a nice article about human perception. The article kind of resonates with my earlier writing on bayesian statistics that the brain seems to conform to. Anyway, I recommend the article as it really gives some food for thought.

Dapper MashupAds Contextual Ad Platform

November 10, 2008 – 23:48

This is one of the most interesting advertising solutions I’ve seen recently.

The New FT.com Homepage Looks Like a Blog

November 10, 2008 – 23:36

Yes, it does.

Working With Google Apps

November 10, 2008 – 22:42

I recently moved my email to Google Apps. As part of that, I also started to try out Google Docs for both creating and storing documents and I’m kind of starting to understand why Microsoft is so concerned about Google.

The thing is, Google solution basically fulfills the need of smaller or medium sized business. No, the offering does not have all the functionality of Microsoft Office or OpenOffice.org. However, how many features does one really ever use? With Docs, working with basic documents is pretty straightforward. As a bonus, they are stored externally to the cloud, so there are no backups to make, and 25GB mail storage per account should pretty much be enough even for serious business use. There are also nice features for sharing and collaborating with integrated Google Talk that eases distributed and out-of-office work with Apps.

So far, the only problem for me has been offline usage. While I’m rarely totally offline (3G/EDGE works pretty much anywhere), I’d sometimes like to take the documents with me. Google Gears should fix this problem, but for some reason Gears does not function that well on Mac OS X. I think I’ll need to look deeper into that, but one can always export the documents for offline work and re-import them back. The ease of use compensates for that, as I already have two machines at home (a laptop and a desktop) and since the productivity tools are online, there is no need to sync any files to server storage – you always have up to date documents available in the cloud even when working on any temporary computer. No USB drives, no syncing, no copying – it just works.

I must admit that for a long time, I thought that online office suite would not work well enough for any serious use. Now, I think the online approach is only sensible way. Too bad this has not yet gained too much ground in the enterprise space as online tools could easily replace the basic Excel spreadsheets and Powerpoint presentations without the patch nightmares and biannual major version upgrades.

Next up is moving my web hosting to Amazon’s EC2 cloud. I’ll report back on the experiences as soon as I have the time to do it.

New Revolutionary C64 Music Routine Unveiled

November 5, 2008 – 1:47

This is simply impossible! I repeat, impossible.

The Bayesian Brain

October 30, 2008 – 0:35

Some time ago there was an interesting article in New Scientist, about new theory on how human brain works. It turns out that high level brain functions can be modeled using Bayesian statistics and the brain in fact uses statistical data from prior experiences to predict the current sensory input. Being a layman, this rises a few issues at least for me. I’m not going to quote the article here, please read it first yourself.

The observed reality is only an approximation

If the human brain really does not actually ever have a complete and accurate view on the environment (or reality) as the whole sensory process is based on calculating probability and minimizing error between observation and predicted input.

The brain functions follow causal processes

If prior events effect on how we observe the environment, causality is a fundamental part of how our brain works. If our whole neural network functions via Bayesian statistics, then everything we process, even our thinking, happens in accordance with causal processesprobabilistic causation comes to my mind first. This is pretty much what Russell actually proposes in his theory about causal lines.

The brain can be simulated more easily than was thought

While computers have a hard time crunching massive neural networks, the basic infrastructure of the brain, they are quite efficient in statistical analysis. If you have ever used a spam filter, you actually have Bayesian statistics running in your software that does two things that a human would: 1) it learns along the way b) it predicts using partial or fuzzy data. Therefore it is quite possible to be able to simulate some limited brain functions without millions of CPUs. And as processing power increases, such simulations can be done by anyone or a community of people just like SETI@home. Singularity, anyone?

But what is most fascinating for me is that once again macroscopic structures stem from microscopic ones. Bayesian probability can be applied in quantum mechanics – as QM is mostly about probabilities since we do not have the resolution to really accurately measure full quantum states. And due to Heisenberg uncertainty principle, we can not even if it technically was possible. And as atomic particles and natural forces are causal, and as it seems so is the brain in this theory.

Also one more interesting thing in this theory is that it gives you some advice on how to become an intuitive decision maker. Intuition in this case is to have a lot of alternative statistics available in order to make a quick and most correct estimation of given situation. So you should get rid of tunnel vision and observe a broad set of information even if it is not of direct interest to you or your business. The thing with statistical probabilities is that the correct solution could come from a “wrong” place and it would come spontaneously. That is what intuition is all about.

PS. I did not even go to the free energy principle proposed by Friston. It also underlines that actually our interpretation of quantum physics has it’s counterpart on higher level structures like classical physics that has its higher level counterpart in chemistry which has a counterpart in molecular biology and so forth. Kind of makes me think that in the end, everything is hierarchical following the same rules from Planck scale to infinity.

MTV Opens Online Music Video Service

October 29, 2008 – 14:19

Tired of questionable quality of YouTube videos?

Book Recommendations

October 25, 2008 – 13:14

I’m currently going through a massive pile of books since I’ve had not that much free time at hand. However, I thought I could share a few of the books I’m reading that I find most interesting at the moment, so here we go.

Michael Lockwood: The Labyrinth of Time. This book deals with the different explanations of time itself. For anyone who has gone deeper in the theoretical physics, time (or arrow of time) is one of the unsolved mysteries and it also has deep relation to my favorite subjects, namely entropy and causality.

Derek Parfit: Reasons and Persons. Parfit has good arguments against our traditional view on ourselves and our view on rationality and morality. I’m interested in human decision making process in general, so this makes a good read.

Kevin D. Hoover: Causality in Macroeconomics. This relates to my last post about causal business decision making. I need to understand the subject better.

C.G. Jung: Synchronicity. The other side of the causal coin. Jung’s argument for acausal connections of events.

J.G. Ballard: Kingdom Come. Fiction about the ultimate manifestation of consumerism. Or is it actually fiction anymore?

For Finns, I could also recommend Pekka Teerikorpi’s “Miljoonan vuoden yksinäisyys“, as it really is a good one about history of science. Not a traditional history book, but loaded with a scent of melancholy and exceptional way to connect events via cultural history.

More recommendations coming when I manage to get into some of my unread books, the pile is now about 150 centimeters high, and this is not a joke :-)